A Rant on the Yield Curve Inversion
Where Does the Terminal Rate Need to Go? Source: Bloomberg. As of 11/18/22. It’s pretty clear the pace of rate hikes will slow down soon, although we believe...
The Market in Pictures, November 18
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: JL:...
Aptus Musing: Season Recap
The Cincinnati Bengals had a BYE this week, so I thought that I would do some reflecting not only on their first ten games, but over my last two musings – earnings and the...
Aptus Musing: Can That CPI Reaction Stick?
I’ve been asked what we thought about the magnitude and sustainability of last week’s market reaction to Thursday’s CPI print. We love putting things into context and last...
The Market in Pictures, November 11
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: JL: stock...
A Good Day for The Fed
Year-over-year, CPI rose 7.7%, down from the 8.2% pace reported the month prior and the fourth consecutive month of cooling price pressures, albeit still near a four-decade...
What Could Stop the Fed?
Newton's First Law of Motion states that an object in motion tends to stay in motion unless an external force acts upon it. The Fed is in motion (hiking rates/QT) and until...
The Market in Pictures, November 4
Our team looks at a lot of research throughout each day. A few charts that caught our eye this week, and the way they fit the unfolding puzzle of evidence: John Luke:...
Rearview to Windshield, November 2022
October 2022 Market Recap: The market ended the month +8.1% in October, as Q3 earnings season looks to be a complete redux of Q2 earnings season. There has been earnings...
Thoughts on Interest Rates
We’ve had a number of questions regarding peak interest rates. Interest rates have of course been a hot topic in 2022… the 4th worst year for government bonds since 1721 has...
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